Showing posts with label economics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economics. Show all posts

Wednesday, May 8, 2019

Moving Toward A Resource Based Economy

Moving Toward a Resource Based Economy
While there have no doubt been countless periods throughout roughly 7-million years of upright-hominid history that can be considered ‘significant’, perhaps none have been more pivotal than what is currently being experienced as the human species swiftly moves into the third decade of the 21st Century. Never before have we had unfettered access to the entirety of humankind’s knowledgebase at our fingertips; yet, 17% of the global population is still illiterate.[1] Never before have we had the technology to easily and continuously feed over 7.5-billion people; yet, we still collectively throw away 30-40% of the food supply in the United States alone[2] while over 3-million children die from undernutrition each year.[3] Never before have we had the ability to produce more than enough energy to suit all human needs; yet around 14% of the global population still has little to no access to electricity![4] And, never before have we better understood the human mind and what causes aberrant behavior; yet, the United States prison population eclipses every other country on Earth with over 2-million incarcerated in a privatized, for-profit system.[5] Clearly, there exists a void between what we know and what we do with what we know! But, what is it that causes such a chasm between the two to continue widening despite the undeniable advancements made over the millennia? Is it some character flaw in ‘human nature’—greed, jealousy, or the lust for power? Unlikely, since those instead are all attributes of ‘human behavior’ that have evolved, along with the human body, subject to natural processes. What about some rogue corporation or government corrupting the system? Doubtful, since all entities are operating within the limits of the economic model in place. But, with this line of reasoning we seem to be nearing the correct question, which of course must first be addressed if we are to offer any semblance of appropriate solutions: Could it be the economic model itself?
Although historical records of European society leading up to 14th century mostly indicate human interactions filled with disease, despots, and destruction, the Mediterranean instead offered, during that same period, some of the most culturally and scientifically enriched cities in the world. One could argue that these are but two stages in the natural progression of any seemingly-intelligent beings as they move toward becoming civilized. However, once such a species becomes capable of reciprocating influence with the environment that sustains it, a new responsibility manifests that eventually becomes the defining factor of any future progression. That is what happened with homo sapiens between the 18th and 19th centuries here on Earth. The discovery and subsequent, ubiquitous use of coal and oil quickly ushered in a new era of development that was unparalleled in history. But, fast-forward through two centuries of dumping ever-increasing amounts of what we presently understand to be potent greenhouse gases into the atmosphere and we stand on the precipice of the most dangerous paradigm shift in history. Many solutions have been offered but a common thread weaves them together and fates them to similar failures: All have been developed within the context of the current economic model in place. That is, no one even questions the existence of market economics—it’s just assumed that it will be used. Capitalism, neoliberal globalization, the free market—regardless of the label one chooses to help them nuance someone to death, one thing is clear: It is no longer relevant in the 21st century. But, how do we address such a massive, relentless economic machine with hundreds of millions of participants too distracted or unwilling to even consider a change? It will be difficult but I believe that, just as those that led the great civil rights movements throughout the 20th century, we shall overcome![6] Of course, the big question is always how?
If an economy is to have any form of success, the term must first be defined. So, what does it mean to have an economy? To economize, of course! At its very core, an economy should seek to avoid waste everywhere possible.[7] So, can we say that our current market economy avoids waste anywhere? Unfortunately, the answer is no. In fact, there is an entire industry that profits from waste so it can be confidently stated that waste is actually good for the market economy.[8] The more waste we produce the better; for, it means someone will have a job. But, there is an alternative that actually lives up to its name and appears capable of solving most of the problems that manifest as a result of market economics: A Resource Based Economy (RBE).[9] Throughout this brief exercise, I will be examining a few specific topics within the context of each model while asking the following questions: How does each model address the issue? And, Which model is more economical?
          Let’s begin with human interrelations. In an RBE, the relationships people build with one another would tend to be focused on collaboration and the sharing of ideas and resources. There’d be an understanding that we are on this planet as a single species among millions and must work together to reduce waste and reduce suffering. An environment would be maintained where everyone is raised to their highest potential while machine automation provides strategic access to the necessities of life to everyone on the planet. In other words, we would be free to pursue positive self-fulfillment in life.[10] On the other hand, in a market economy, people tend to be far more individualistic and geared toward maximizing their self-interest, constantly buying more products, or "gaining the upper hand" when it comes to everything from job positions to the most innocuous of opinions about irrelevant, inconsequential topics. "Those damn liberals...!" you'll hear people say. "The Patriots are garbage!" is another favorite. Unfortunately, the fact that social hierarchy, rather than being some random, unwanted manifestation of a flawed system, is actually built right into this one, is all but universally ignored. The whole power structure and social stratification thing is great—for the people at the top of this glorified Ponzi scheme. But, at the foundational level the truth is this: if you don't serve an adequate function in this market economy, you might as well die because you're on your own—a veritable ‘anti-economy’.
          What about growth? An RBE recognizes the Earth as a finite system that can generally be thought of as being closed. In other words, what's here is what we've got and we should do our best to preserve all of it. That means developing alternative resources, recycling, and designing products for maximum lifetimes so that overall consumption goes down. In stark contrast, the current market economy is situated firmly on the ideas of infinite growth and constant turnover. Products are mass produced irrespective of raw resource supply—many of which find their way into landfills not long after being purchased. But, that’s okay because as long as we increase consumption, we can always measure the health of the economy in terms of economic abstractions such as GDP and wave Adam Smith’s ‘invisible hand’ at all negative externalities. Right?—Wrong! Ask yourself, if you’re in a group that becomes stranded on an island with limited resources, would you want to implement a system that tries to use up those resources as quickly as possible or would preservation be the key to your survival?
          What about Property? That’s important, isn’t it? In an RBE, people would have strategic access to the necessities of life. With the level of abundance capable of being created and maintained through machine automation, money has become an unnecessary restriction to access. Poverty in the future would be viewed as the inexcusable act of violence that it is—an unfortunate learning experience of the past as shameful and horrifying as slavery and likewise never to be revisited. Open source sharing of ideas and products would be much more efficient and much less wasteful in terms of resources. Does it make any sense to claim that everyone on the planet wants or needs one of everything ever produced? Of course not! And, does it make any sense to buy a car to then have it sit for 50% or more of the time wasting its functional utility in a parking lot? These are methods produced by people who have a singular goal in mind: profits. We must realize that the idea of property is ultimately a contrivance, as none of the crap we accumulate throughout our lives goes with us when we die. In other words, everything is transient—even our bodies. In a future RBE, accumulating vast amounts of wealth and resources while restricting others' access to those resources for profit would be seen as counter to responsible resource management. But, ‘profit at any cost’ is exactly what a market economy demands and rewards. The metric for success tends to be measured in terms of purchasing power; the more property you have, the more praise and power you are supposed to receive and wield. Plus, if you can patent an idea or copyright a certain work, you can restrict others' access to those ideas and works to generate even more profit. Again, this is more of an anti-economy than anything else. But, what would people do if they didn’t ‘work’? Wouldn’t they sit around and just do nothing all day, every day?
          The technology that has been developed over the course of the past century is mind-boggling. We are currently capable of automating a majority of industries in existence today because most of those jobs exist for the sole purpose of perpetuating the market economy. Low-wage, low-skill jobs are an affront to human potential and, rather than being a source of fulfillment, tend to burden workers into submission with repetitive, boring tasks that only make sense within the context of such a system that must constantly distract them from the miserable reality of barely being able to pay rent and eat healthy food every day.[11] A Resource Based Economy would thrive on automation, replacing human labor in as many sectors as quickly as possible. The idea is to free humans from drudgery and dangerous jobs so that they can pursue positive self-fulfillment in life. What does that mean? Well, think about all the things you've been interested in throughout your life but were told not to pursue because they wouldn't make you money, or a living, or were unrealistic or out of reach according to someone else. If you're asking the question, What would people do in such a system of access? I'll simply throw it right back to you: What would you do if you didn't have to clock into the dictatorship 40 hours or more a week? Are you going to sit around and do nothing? If your answer to that question is ‘no’, then why assume as much about everyone else? We have machines to do our dirty work and they don’t need breaks, health insurance, pensions, or salaries, and they can work all day, every day with no complaints. In terms of manufacturing, we could even reduce our energy usage through large, automated ‘dark factories’ in which there is little to no lighting since machines doing repetitive tasks don’t need it. The industrial sector is the largest energy consumer so any reduction in usage would directly lead to a reduction in greenhouse gas production.[12] But, once those goods are produced, how might we get them to people? What does distribution look like in an RBE?
There are many ways in which the distribution of resources can unfold; choosing the best one to serve 7.5-billion people is a monumental task that must be carefully considered if we are to reduce human suffering and environmental degradation. People often argue in terms of more ‘equal’ distribution but then the conversation tends to get mired in a debate about opportunities and outcomes. But, I argue that equal distribution doesn't make sense for any economic system because people don't have equal wants or needs. Rather, through the use of strategic access centers, people would have all the fundamental goods and services available to them in an efficient, equitable system.[13] Today, we calls these malls and shopping centers but in an RBE there would be no debt, no barter, no servitude; and no trade of any kind—simply access. Automated delivery systems would even be put in place to maximize efficiency. Conversely, a Market economy relies on the classical ideas of labor for income and supply & demand to produce and distribute goods. We mass produce inferior goods and then hire people to sit in a chair driving that crap all over the world in planes, trains, trucks, and ships—a pointless exercise outside the context of labor for income. Nevertheless, regardless of the brand, the products are inferior and outmoded the moment they are produced because optimal design, production, and distribution are stifled in every stage of the process by something called ‘cost efficiency’. That is, in order to make a product and remain competitive nowadays, companies must cut costs along every stage of production—from design all the way through distribution. This inevitably reduces the quality of every single product on the market, increasing the amount of waste as products break down and are thrown away. An anti-economy indeed! But, with machine automation, this type of quality reduction is now effectively obsolete along with the waste it produces. In fact, here is a chart detailing the inverse relationship between manufacturing employment and manufacturing production from 1947 to 2011:

Figure 1: This graph shows how manufacturing production and manufacturing employment trends have developed from 1947 to 2010.[14][15]
It was around the year 2000 when manufacturing employment sharply declined as more companies began automating processes. This of course presents us with a massive problem: Our entire economic model is predicated on the assumption of labor-for-income while automation directly threatens that structure through the displacement of human workers. In other words, not only are workers in virtually every sector out there competing with each other for jobs in the marketplace, they are now competing directly with machines that do the jobs faster, more efficiently, and to a higher degree of accuracy and precision than any human or group of humans ever could. The unmistakable advantage of machine automation in the manufacturing sector is difficult to argue against outside of the labor-for-income aspect; workers simply shifted away from this sector into a burgeoning service sector.[16] But, not even the service industry is safe from automation. In 2018, the world’s first fully automated restaurant opened in Beijing.[17] Of course, this begs the question: If people in manufacturing had the service sector to accommodate their displacement, to which industry will those in the service sector move once automation is fully embraced by corporations wanting to cut labor costs and increase profits?[18]
This disconnect we’re experiencing—the sort of clash between traditional views and the emergent nature of technology—it’s doing much more than simply stifling socioeconomic progress. It’s killing people. That is, we currently have the resources and technology to feed, clothe, and house every single person on the planet—to build desalination plants all over the world—to provide renewable energy to at least every industrialized nation on Earth—to automate as many production and distribution systems as possible. But we choose not to do any of those things! Perhaps the most disturbing realization about all of that is that we have the resources to feed every single person on the planet—but we choose not to do it. Why? It’s simply not profitable since half the world’s population lives in poverty.[19] Meanwhile, an old building burns and suddenly over $1-billion finds its way to the “restoration” efforts in just 2 days.[20] Could you have ever possibly imagined such a cruel and callous system? Some people will actually rationalize this situation in terms of “preserving a national icon” versus “consequences of personal choice” or some other obscure dichotomy that misses the point or intentionally obfuscates it. The reality is that we are talking about human lives versus a building. Plain and simple. And I choose human lives every single time.
Where do we go from here? If we truly want to move into a new economic model that might actually economize, then we need to have a plan explaining how to get from here to there. And, of course, the transition is perhaps the most difficult part of the entire endeavor; we have to be cautious! While there are countless ways for such a paradigm shift to go horribly awry, there are perhaps but a few ways for the transition to be as smooth as possible. Fresco has this to say regarding the subject:

I am not advocating that these older institutions be overthrown: it is just that they are becoming unworkable. Unfortunately, it will probably take a social and economic breakdown to bring about the demise of the old system and its institutions. At this point, significant social change will probably only occur when a sufficient number of people, through economic failure, lose confidence in their elected officials. The public will then demand other alternatives. While we would like to think that this could usher in a bright new chapter in the human drama, it is far more likely that the most probable course will be a form of dictatorship, perhaps even an American brand of fascism presented to the people as a way of protecting them from the products of their own inadequate culture (Fresco 2013, p. 27)

One might argue that this is a rather grim outlook, but keep in mind that there are no utopias and no final frontiers. This transition will be the most challenging feat ever attempted by humankind but the reward is priceless. Human society—at least as long as it exists—will be in a constant state of change that is directly related to the socioeconomic policies in place. So we must leave posterity with the tools and knowledge that allow and in fact encourage them to embrace those changes. So, how do we get from here to there?
The details of Fresco’s plan can be found on the website for The Venus Project.[21] Phase One has been underway for several decades and has culminated in a 22-acre research facility in Venus, Florida. Documentaries, lectures, DVDs, books, and even tours are presently available. Phase Two is focused on releasing a feature-length film examining life within such a global system. Phase Three will implement a plan to build an entire research city to develop the aims and goals of a Resource Based Economy along the lines of the following 17 attributes:
·      Recognizing the world’s resources as the common heritage of all Earth’s people.
·      Transcending the artificial boundaries that separate people.
·      Evolving from a money-based, nationalistic economies to a resource-based world economy.
·      Assisting in stabilizing the world’s population through education and voluntary birth control in order to conform to the carrying capacity of Earth’s resources.
·      Reclaiming and restoring the natural environment to the best of our ability.
·      Redesigning our cities, transportation systems, agricultural industries, and industrial plants so that they are energy efficient, clean, and able to conveniently serve the needs of all people.
·      Sharing and applying new technologies for the benefit of all nations.
·      Developing and using clean and renewable energy sources.
·      Manufacturing the highest quality products for the benefit of the world’s people.
·      Requiring environmental impact studies prior to construction of any mega projects.
·      Encouraging the widest range of creativity and incentive toward constructive endeavor.
·      Outgrowing nationalism, bigotry, and prejudice through education.
·      Outgrowing any type of elitism, technical or otherwise.
·      Arriving at methodologies through careful research, rather than from mere opinions.
·      Enhancing communication in schools so that our language corresponds to the actual physical nature of the world.
·      Providing not only the necessities of life, but also offering challenges that stimulate the mind while emphasizing individuality over uniformity.
·      Finally, preparing people intellectually and emotionally for the changes and challenges that lie ahead.
Phase Four is the final stage and would see a theme park built to educate and entertain visitors on the tenets of the system and how it will apply globally.
            To me, this is the only system capable of operating within the carrying capacity of the Earth while providing access abundance to everyone. And while Fresco’s answer to how we get from here to there might be unsatisfying to many, we can, in the meantime, work the current system in whatever way is possible and necessary in order to force the transition. So, I’ve come up with three of my own transitional catalysts that could move us faster toward Fresco’s Phase Three.
First, whether you want to admit it, believe it, accept it or not, robots are likely going to take our jobs over the next 30 years.[22] So why not just let them? If we insist on automating the monetary/market economy, then we must shift the focus from labor-for-income to rent-for-income. But, what does that mean? Instead of robotics companies selling their products directly to manufacturing and service companies and displacing workers, require them through legislation to only sell directly to the workers with minimal exceptions.[23] The workers then rent the robots to the manufacturing and service companies for their salaries.
Second, energy companies will be bound by mandatory, exemption-free legislation to offer a number of transitional energy packages in order to swiftly move away from burning fossil fuels for energy over the next 10 years globally. Lifetime rentals and system buyouts are just two of the many possible manifestations of this train of thought. And the servicing requirement guarantees new jobs—at least until they are also automated. Then we’re back to the first example![24]
Lastly, we need a maximum age to hold office. Term limits are great but if we truly wish to move beyond stagnant, traditionalized thinking, then, with the help of such disciplines as cognitive psychology and sociology, it’s time to make the dinosaurs of thought retire from public service so fresh, young ideas are always circulating within the ranks of decision-making bodies.
Alas! In this modern era of instant-gratification and perpetual-dissatisfaction, do you want to know what truly matters?—Feeding, clothing, and housing everyone. Those are some of the only things that have ever truly mattered. But the difference now—in the 21st Century—rests upon the fact that we are advanced enough to actually make those things happen. And, if you were fortunate enough like I was to win the birthing lottery and have grown up in one of the richest, most prosperous nations in the industrialized world, then I can say without a shred of doubt that we all know it. As Jacque Fresco once said, “If you think we can’t change the world, it just means you’re not one of those that will.” So, what will it be? Are you ready to change the world?

Works Cited
Catlos, Brian A. "Infidel Kings and Unholy Warriors: Faith, Power, and Violence in the Age of
Crusade and Jihad." Choice Reviews Online52, no. 09 (2015).doi:10.5860/choice.187244.
Feder, Kenneth L. The past in Perspective: An Introduction to Human Prehistory. New York:
Oxford University Press, 2019.
Fresco, Jacque, Jacque Fresco, and Roxanne Meadows. The Best That Money Can’t Buy: Beyond
Politics, Poverty, & War. Venus, FL: Global Cyber-Visions, 2013.
Ristinen, Robert A., Jack J. Kraushaar, and Jeffrey T. Brack. Energy and the Environment.
Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 2016.



[10] The qualifying term ‘positive’ is important here. There are likely countless ways in which humans can find self-fulfillment, but only some of those are conducive to maintaining both individual satisfaction and societal health.
[13] Within the discussion of economic distribution, the difference between ‘equal’ and ‘equitable’ is subtle, yet it stands the epitome of importance. Whether talking about opportunities or outcomes, ‘equal’ means that an individual’s particular advantages, disadvantages, wants, and needs are generally ignored. For example, not everyone needs blood pressure medication and not everyone wants a Lamborghini. And, of the people that need blood pressure medication, not everyone needs the same amount; of the people that want a Lamborghini, not all of them are physically capable of driving one. But, in a system of equal distribution, it is easy to imagine that everyone would get blood pressure medication—even if they didn’t need it; and no one would get a Lamborghini because not everyone can drive one. (That’s some strange logic but it pales in comparison to what has actually been put into practice by humans on this planet. People used to view owning each other as property as ‘normal’.) It is important to note, however, that this equal-equitable distinction is wholly irrelevant in the discussion of Rights and Liberties. If Rights and Liberties are to have any meaning then they must be applied equally. By Rights, I mean the set of actions and expressions free from unequal treatment based upon protected characteristics; by Liberties, I mean the set of actions and expressions guaranteed to all people by government through a social contract (such as a Constitution) as permanently allowable. But, in the future envisioned by Fresco, we will have moved far beyond the supposed need for politics and government. The defining characteristics of Rights and Liberties will be built right into the system when the Earth and all of its resources are declared as the common heritage of all the world’s people.
[23] Until the military is phased out, it will likely be one of the exceptions.

Envisioning Sustainable Economies Discussions

1. Provide an example of a counterintuitive truth.

A fascinating counterintuitive truth I was recently introduced to--which sent me into a Google hole to confirm--is that the general American accent of today is closer to the pre-American Revolution British accent than the general, modern British accent. 

2. Provide an example of an issue/position on which you've change changed your mind.'

Having grown up in a free market system (capitalism; neoliberal globalization; call it what you will) like everyone currently alive, and having been fortunate enough to win the birth location lottery in a "first world country", I was indoctrinated to believe that the biggest--perhaps the only--motivator for humans on planet Earth is (somehow) the transfer of something we call money. The money production and resulting labor-for-income processes were never supposed to be interesting or understood--simply passively accepted. But in 2009, I was introduced to the concept of a Resource Based Economy. 

Even though I was familiar with the concept of a moneyless society because of shows like Star Trek, I had never given serious consideration to the possibility until it was laid out in a cohesive, sensible, but most importantly, entirely feasible manner by Jacque Fresco. Now, I admittedly will never look at money as anything other than a nothing thing. Money is meaningless and the faster we dispense with such a ridiculous concept in the digital age, the faster we can raise the standard of living for every human on the planet. For example, we have the resources, technology, and knowledge to feed, clothe, and house every single human on the planet easily, but choose not to in the name of a system that most claim "works" because, "if they just had the money..."

Paraphrasing Fresco: If you're stuck on an island with gold bars, jewelry, and millions of dollars in cash, but there's no fresh water, no arable land, and no food, you have nothing.

3. What is the biggest constraint of the size of the global human population?

Beyond the notions of government, money, social class, global markets, and all the modern conveniences taken for granted in industrialized nations, there is an often-overlooked, natural constraint that exists for all species on any planet in question: carrying capacity. The innovative capacity of the human species is perhaps boundless; however, if the systems by which the species operates on Earth either exceed or outright ignore the carrying capacity of the planet, then all of the electronics, transportation systems, agricultural advances, and niceties of the 21st century can only amount to so many millions of tons of junk...
Taking this a bit further, if those systems fail to raise the standard of living for every human on the planet to an adequate reflection of the technical and intellectual achievements of a supposedly intelligent species (i.e. one that ultimately reduces human and environmental suffering while maintaining a steady-state economy within the carrying capacity of Earth), then it seems to be a squandered potential--arguably a wasted existence.
4. What sources of growth (if any) are potentially infinite? What are the most promising tech advances on the horizon? For the economy? For the environment?
Infinite growth simply cannot occur within finite systems—lest our definitions of infinite and finite risk meaninglessness. For all intents and purposes, Earth can be viewed as such a finite system in that, once the Moon was splashed off some four and a half billion years ago and the planet began cooling, the three major inputs influencing its cosmic progression ever since have been the Sun (which contains over 99.8% of all the mass in the entire solar system), geologic processes leading to biotic processes (from abiogenesis to evolution through natural selection), and extinction-causing impactors (like the one that wiped out much of the reptilian world roughly 65-million years ago). In other words, the resources that are available and usable on the planet generally take so much longer than the average lifespan of humans and require such a vastly different set of conditions to generate that it’s safe to assume once they’re gone, they’re gone. Oil, for example, which was used to accelerate the expansion of the global economy in just over a century, took tens to hundreds of millions of years to form from decaying organic material. So, given the information our species has accumulated in the cosmically negligible amount of time it's been evolving on this planet, the only things of which I can think that even remotely resemble infinite growth are cancer and possibly the Universe itself. Cancer will grow indefinitely given a continuous supply of healthy cells and an environment in which to propagate; but even the Universe will stop growing if it ever reaches absolute zero! Thus, the argument seems to rest on philosophical grounds.
Philosophically, one could argue any number of arbitrary points about infinite growth, such as: Which infinity?—countable infinity or uncountable infinity? Does it matter? Is this a closed system or are there other major inputs aside from the Sun? Can something like intellectual capital­—i.e. technical, linguistic, artistic, economic, or any other type of innovation borne of intelligence—be proffered as a realistic means by which humanity could achieve such a thing? Who knows? But, all of those questions will just lead to wasted time unless we move beyond the philosophical and cut to the heart of the issue to ask: Can Earth even sustain any kinds of infinite growth models? Without properly addressing and answering this arguably technical question, the human species risks exceeding the carrying capacity of the environment, which will inevitably cause conflict, territorial disputes, fresh water shortages, and unnecessary suffering. So, by continuing to rely on an economic model that uses scarcity (to maintain and drive up prices) coupled with its dichotomy, infinite growth (to maintain competition), while virtually every crucial life system on the planet is in decline as a direct result, the human species has mixed the ingredients for a disaster recipe—and we’re about to throw it in the oven! There’s still a small window of opportunity to turn the oven off and trash the recipe. But, we’ve waited so long to address this issue, while traipsing all over planet in “business as usual” fashion, that it will take an overhaul of the entire global economy and a concerted effort on behalf of practically every country on Earth over the next twelve years or so in order to remedy even a fraction of the damage we’ve inflicted (and continue inflicting) upon the environment. Infinite growth certainly isn’t the answer.
The latest tech advancements will only amount to so many millions of tons of junk unless they enhance the lives of all humans. If we stopped innovating right now and intelligently used the technology and resources already available, we could feed, clothe, and house every single person on the planet. Can we provide, say, one of absolutely everything ever produced to every single person on the planet? Of course not! And it’s ridiculous to even begin to assume that everyone would desire such a stockpile. (What if I want all of Europe to be my backyard so I can really spread out all of my stuff? Who’s to tell me I’m wrong for it anyway?! See how absurd?) With technology, however, we can realistically address the issue of providing all humans access abundance to the necessities of life while working toward providing wants in an automated, equitable, sustainable manner. This means the economic model in place must be directly related to the resources provided by the environment—a Resource Based Economy. Following the logic, a prudent foundational principle to immediately implement is that the carrying capacity of the Earth cannot be exceeded. To understand what we have, how much of it we have, and where it’s at necessitates a global resource evaluation. Once this happens and a constant-feedback system is in place, we can easily live within this carrying capacity through the intelligent distribution of resources and through the intelligent use of technology. So, what kinds of technology are we working with in 2019?
The amount of technology the human species has developed in the past century alone is mind-boggling. So, sparing an incredibly long list of innovations, I’ll simply present what I feel are the ‘Top 6 Technologies We Can Use Now to Transition to a Resource Based Global Economy’:
  1.     Renewable Energy
Energy is the cornerstone of modern society. But the most pervasive forms of energy production involve the burning of fossil fuels—a process that releases millions of tons of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases into the atmosphere—while failing to create carbon sinks to pull that material back out. Fossil fuels have such a high energy density, it’s easy to see how, once discovered, coal, gasoline, and natural gas quickly became the foundation upon which the massive global energy sector still reigning today was built. However, combining sources, such as solar, wind, wave, tidal, geothermal, and nuclear, with 21st century battery and capacitor storage systems, there is more than enough available energy to cover the roughly 16 terawatts humans use each year.
  1.     Desalination Plants
Once humanity’s energy needs are met and possibly exceeded, a focus on desalination techniques could soon mean freshwater shortages never happen again. While there are several different ways to achieve this end, each requires a large amount of energy (see 1 above). Free access to fresh, clean water is foundational to a healthy life. There is no excuse for living in the richest, most technologically advanced society to have ever walked the Earth and having almost 10% of the world’s human population with no access to improved water sources and 35% with no access to improved sanitation!      
  1.     High-Speed Internet
The internet is perhaps humankind’s greatest achievement; but almost half the world’s population don’t have access to it. If resources are to be accurately and efficiently tracked, monitored, and distributed, there is no other way than through the use of the Internet. No human or group of humans can process the amount of information necessary to allow such a system to effectively function. Networked machines are necessary and automation through open source information can lead to highly advanced monitoring systems that adjust parameters in real time, an efficient transportation grid, streamlined production and distribution systems that have waste reduction built right in, and manufacturing platforms for sharing designs (some of which already exist through websites like www.thingiverse.com (Links to an external site.)Links to an external site.):
  1.     Vertical Farms
As a human organism, there is a certain set of bodily requirements that must be fulfilled in order to grow optimally and maintain optimal health: i. Clean, fresh air; ii. Clean, fresh water; iii. Nutritious food; iv. Sunlight; and, v. An enriching physical and social environment that includes close contact with others. The nutritious food requirement can be addressed by either converting old high-rises to vertical farms or building new ones for that purpose. Each floor can be dedicated to a particular crop or mutually-beneficial crops, some of which include bees. Meanwhile, the whole system can be handled in a fully- or at least partially-automated way through the use of sophisticated data tracking systems that monitor and adjust nutrient levels, water schedules, light schedules, & CO2 levels, and can alert the public when harvests are ready the way that advertisements reach us through social media as we scroll through the brain puke. Think of it like a modern supermarket but you just go get what you need and leave; it’ll be there tomorrow! Or, since we already have online ordering and delivery, just a few clicks and fresh produce is en route to your front door!
  1.     High-Speed, Automated Transit
While flying is arguably the most popular form of mass transportation, it still depends upon the use of large amounts of fossil fuels. The goal should be to reduce the use of fossil fuels to a bare minimum. (Let’s honestly acknowledge that until we develop long-lasting alternative lubricants, the use of oil will persist—even with the energy systems outlined above.) This means implementing MagLev rail systems as soon as possible to interconnect all major cities in each country or region with high-speed trains. As of 2017, Japan holds the world title for Fastest MagLev (test) train at over 374 mph! The technology already exists and will only improve as we fully engage with the 21st century.  
  1.     Additive Manufacturing
In recent decades, manufacturing has witnessed incredible advancements through the development and use of machine automation. Now, with the advent of Additive Manufacturing (known colloquially as 3D printing), the world is on the brink of the next great fabrication revolution--one that promises a permanent reduction in most waste of resources. Everything from nanotech to entire high rise buildings can be completely revolutionized by prospective applications for this technology. As improvements inevitably arise and adjust to real-time data in a global feedback loop (made possible by the Internet), the future of recycling might one day simply be that it is built right into the system. That’s what nature has in-store for us anyway. As John Ortberg once stated while drawing parallels between the culmination of human existence in the modern world and the game Monopoly: “Now it all goes back in the box.” But, until that happens, our society can do its technical best to eliminate mass production where it has become obsolete, reduce waste to the absolute minimum, and increase the recycling of materials.

Until this point, there has only been a single en passant reference to the concept of money because, quite frankly, I don’t actually consider it a resource. You can’t eat money. You can’t stuff it into your gas tank and expect it to run your car. Money is a nothing thing (only about 3% exists as physical currency) and with the way Fractional Reserve Banking functions, the debt generated through the money-creation process itself is mathematically impossible to pay off. (Don’t take my word for it, though. Click the last link I’ve included below to read Modern Money Mechanics and learn the process. It’s actually pretty simple.) Therefore, it’s a pointless exercise to perpetuate such an outmoded concept just because we’ve convinced ourselves that money exchange, bartering, or some other form of labor-for-income is required to find purpose or fulfillment in life. It’s not--that’s a lie. Money can’t create real value, purpose, or fulfillment if the moment it’s produced it’s worth less than nothing. (That is, when a dollar is produced, it is “worth” one dollar of debt owed to the Federal Reserve by the U.S. Treasury plus the interest charged on that debt. But, the money to cover the interest charged on the loan was never created so a cycle of never-ending debt is the only thing we can ever experience.) Real value, purpose, and fulfillment likely can only come from the knowledge gained through the lifelong exercise of learning and the relationships built along the way. But, many of us are unaware because we devote the largest portions of our lives clocked in to mostly mundane, technologically obsolete jobs to (you guessed it!) make money. To what end? When the game’s over, it all goes back in the box...
John Ortberg: "It all goes back in the box" (2007)
5. What is the sustainable resource base? How much energy do we need to increase well being over time?
As stated in response to last week's question, energy is the cornerstone of modern society. And, we use around 16 terawatts of energy per year. Still, around 14% of the global human population has little or no access to electricity. If we assume a 1:1 correlation between that portion of the population and what would become their energy usage then, all other factors unchanged, if those roughly 1.1-billion people were to immediately start using energy at the average rate, a rough calculation shows that we would have to be producing over 18 terawatts of energy to satisfy global needs.
(Eq. 1) LaTeX: 16\:TW\times1.14=18.24\:TW16TW×1.14=18.24TW
The sustainable resource base includes any resources that have regeneration and/or recycling rates comparable to or much shorter than the average human lifespan. But, there must also be a conscious component involved that requires us to design an economy with the intelligent extraction and allocation of resources built right in; i.e. maximizing product lifespans and minimizing waste. In terms of energy, the concept of emergy is critical to creating its sustainable resource base. Emergy tells us the relationship between how much energy it takes to extract a given amount of a source of energy and the amount of energy that given amount can actually produce. In other words, if we are to build hundreds of thousands, or even millions, of solar panels and windmills, how much energy would be involved from the beginning of the process(through fuels, goods, and services) to the point of a finished product that is actually sending energy to the grid and how does that number compare with the final yield of the finished product?
(Eq. 2) LaTeX: Emergy\:Yield\:Ratio=\:\frac{Resource}{Yield}EmergyYieldRatio=ResourceYield
This ratio clearly indicates that if we can increase the efficiency of the final yield of a given amount of a resource, then we are striving to minimize emergy. For example, say we have an amount of an energy resource that has the potential to produce an emjoule of energy; but the final yield of that amount after extraction, refinement, transportation, and use is just 70% of the original potential, then, using Eq. 2,
LaTeX: E.Y.R._{70\%}\:=\:\frac{1.00\:emjoule}{0.70\:emjoule}\:=\:1.43E.Y.R.70%=1.00emjoule0.70emjoule=1.43.
But, if we were to somehow increase the yield to 85%, then,
LaTeX: E.Y.R._{85\%}\:=\:\frac{1.00\:emjoule}{0.85\:emjoule}\:=\:1.17E.Y.R.85%=1.00emjoule0.85emjoule=1.17
So, when discussing the net emergy ratio of both renewables, such as solar, and non-renewables, such as oil, it is important to note that these two examples sit at the extremes in the results. That is, the net emergy ratio for oil is HUGE compared to that of solar. And it's because it requires such an intensive series of processes to produce a given amount of usable oil--each requiring their own varying amounts of the resource in question to function. Once a solar panel is produced and installed, it's all energy production and minimal maintenance for its average 20-year lifespan. But, once a gallon of oil is burnt, the carbon dioxide produced has an atmospheric half-life of about 30 years and then we're left to deal (or not deal) with the ramifications of ignoring the necessity of carbon sinks.
But, what about how increasing well-being is related to energy? Of course the idea of well-being is subjective. But, we can still frame it within the context of reducing human and environmental suffering while providing access-abundance to the necessities of life to every human on the planet. This can be used as a common definition of well-being that perhaps only the most callous isolationists in society would argue against. So, how do we achieve that?!
Coming full-circle, we start with energy--Everything starts with energy! Combining solar, wind, wave, tidal, geothermal, and (perhaps most importantly) nuclear, we could easily provide for all of humankind's energy needs. So, if well-being is directly tied to our access to resources, recreational activities, quality healthcare, knowledge and information, and all of the other things that contribute to a rich, fulfilling life, and each of those things is directly tied to particular energy requirements, then it is fair to assume that our well-being is at least indirectly tied to energy requirements in the 21st century. Unfortunately, after careful consideration, the unfulfilling answer to the question of relating energy and well-being might just be that we're going to need however much energy is necessary to satisfy well-being over time. That's because it's a dynamic equilibrium that will depend on social trends, resource availability, psychological pressures, and many, many other factors that will continue to change in the future given societal evolution throughout history. But, if we at least establish a sustainable resource base now, we might not have to worry much about destroying the planet in the near-future (i.e. making it uninhabitable for long enough to wipe ourselves out).
Alas! We'd be free to continue what apparently epitomizes modern sophistication: Using what is perhaps the greatest achievement of humankind to bully each other on social media, squandering incredible amounts of creative potential, and continuing the millennia-old tradition of killing each other over arbitrary philosophical differences...
Sophistication indeed!
https://www.iea.org/energyaccess/database/
6. What are examples of human behavioral patterns, which likely are part of an evolved human nature, and could be important to understand when designing sustainable social systems?
The terms human nature and human behavior represent but one of the many examples from the English language which tend to cause conflict from the outset of discussions involving them because their definitions are often muddled by misunderstanding, conflated without critical examination, or simply framed within the nature vs. nurture context. However, when I think of human nature, I don’t envision some set of inborn behavioral traits that we’re all destined to exhibit—we’re trying to separate the terms, aren’t we? Rather, my understanding of human nature informs me that, as a human organism, there is a particular set of requirements that must be fulfilled in order for our bodies and minds to grow optimally. And if we fail to meet those requirements, the likely result will be suffering both physically and mentally to varying degrees—whether those degrees are perceived by some as having contributed to their own individual growth or not. So, within the context of these given characteristics, what are the requirements that define human nature?
First, we need clean, fresh air. Our bodies have evolved in an oxygen-rich, nitrogen atmosphere that allows aerobic processes to proceed and complex lifeforms, such as humans, to exist. The structure and dynamics of Earth’s atmosphere maintain an adequate environment for all the flora and fauna that we depend upon to grow and survive. Without the proper proportions of what we call trace gases, such as water vapor, carbon dioxide, and methane, a greenhouse effect simply would not sustain the present-day effective surface temperature. (Carbon dioxide comprises only around 0.04% of the atmosphere, yet its influence on atmospheric processes is vast.) As well, life would undoubtedly look much different nowadays had molecular oxygen never been released by early biotic processes and made it to the stratosphere to be dissociated by ultraviolet radiation from the Sun, forming ozone through a series of chemical reactions. In fact, the constant flux of large amounts of UV radiation likely would have sterilized Earth of all but the most hardy extremophiles long before conditions could have been established to evolve highly complex, multicellular organisms like human beings. Essentially, if the ozone layer, which depends upon molecular oxygen, had never formed, life evolving beyond something resembling Deinococcus radiodurans would have been unlikely. We obviously need that oxygen in the present-day atmospheric proportions of roughly 78% nitrogen and 21% oxygen, lest we face a forced, accelerated evolutionary adaptation in order to accommodate less efficient metabolism if oxygen levels in the atmosphere were to decrease. Take away the air completely and we all die.
Second, we need clean, fresh water. Considering the amount of freshwater on Earth—a mere 2.5% of all the water on the planet—and that only a fraction of that total is currently accessible, the preservation of its supply is absolutely crucial if over seven billion of us are to have ongoing access to it. Techniques exist which can desalinate saltwater; however, such processes are energy intensive and would best be integrated with a renewable energy grid. The freshwater sources that already exist have become so stressed by both an exponential increase in population and a market economy that allows privatization of those sources for profit, that if we don’t immediately take action, billions of people will live in high water stress areas by the end of the next decade alone—water scarcity affecting some 24-700 million in semi-arid places around the world by 2030. Humans generally will die in about 3 days without it; so, if there is one thing that should certainly be included on a list of attributes of human nature, it’s water.
Third, nutritious food is yet another foundational requirement for optimal growth in humans—as obvious and necessary as the previous two. Humans have been mastering agriculture (and later horticulture) for over ten thousand years; yet millions of children die each year globally due to hunger or undernutrition. We simply aren’t qualified to consider ourselves civilized under such conditions of placated indifference toward this atrocity. We collectively throw away 30-40% of all the food produced in the United States each year. That comes out to somewhere in the vicinity of over 66-million tons if 31% waste is assumed! Good food. Thrown away… And this doesn’t even take into account the millions of tons of grain fed to livestock yearly!—All while people starve to death. We’re a weird species but no matter how different we think we are individually, take away our food sources and we’ll die in just a few weeks. Fundamental indeed.
Fourth, to varying degrees based upon skin pigmentation, latitude, air pollution, and a few other factors, humans need sunlight for the production of vitamin D in the skin. Through a series of metabolic processes, vitamin D eventually “plays an important role in cellular immunity.” While the link isn’t yet fully understood, vitamin D has been implicated in preventing a host of autoimmune diseases. But, beyond this anthropocentric view, all life as we know it would die without sunlight and the stars that produce it. It’s pretty important—some might even call it a natural requirement.
Finally, humans have evolved as (at least partially-) social beings that require close contact with others in infancy. A baby left untouched but given adequate food and water will die. Furthermore, if our social ties in teenage years and into adulthood become tenuous or dissolve completely, or shift wildly throughout one’s lifetime, then the proclivity for violence—either committing it or becoming desensitized to it when it’s “the right kind”—through in-group/out-group categorization tends to increase. Thus, finding the optimized balance between social interaction and being alone (to think; to read; to do nothing; etc.) should contribute to a reduction in violence.
One might argue that a relevant education could be added to the list; however, humans won’t necessarily die without an education. We can, however, easily destroy ourselves through arrogance and ignorance if we’re not careful. And, these actions would all fall under the label human behavior. In the most basic explanation possible, the above list of five attributes contains all that is encompassed within human natureeverything else is human behavior. The big question is whether or not evolutionary processes such as gene expression are directly linked to behavioral patterns such as emotional expression. For this question, I will simply defer to one of the world’s foremost experts on the topic, Dr. Robert Sapolsky. Dr. Sapolsky has dozens of amazing lectures and presentations online that offer a glimpse into the intersection between behavior and evolutionary biology and I will leave you with this link to check out at least one of them:Robert Sapolsky (Links to an external site.)Links to an external site.Robert Sapolsky
Other Sources:
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